Will Donald Trump say “NATO” 15+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “NATO” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 25, 2025.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
NATO 15+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…not nice. You know, we spend hundreds of billions a year on NATO and they said, no. But they were nice enough to give us…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2025 | NATO 15+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “NATO 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “NATO” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 25, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “NATO 15+ times” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘NATO 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/nato-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=nato%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP