Will Donald Trump say “Native American”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Native American” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 31, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 3 later rallies without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Native American
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…done anywhere close on poverty. African-American poverty. AsianAmerican poverty, Hispanic American poverty, Native American poverty are at the best and lowest levels ever recorded. exports…
…American history. That's a big thing. AfricanAmerican poverty, Hispanic American poverty, and Native American poverty. And by the way, AsianAmerican poverty, all those rates are…
…more jobs. Here's another one. African-American poverty, Hispanic American poverty, Asian-American poverty, Native American poverty rates are at the best levels ever recorded. So So,…
…do I have to keep talking for? African-American poverty, Hispanic American poverty, Native American poverty rates are all at the best levels ever recorded. Asian,…
…been, but reaches best ever. and AfricanAmerican poverty, Hispanic American poverty and Native American poverty rates are at their best levels ever recorded. Think of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | Native American |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Native American”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Native American” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 31, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Native American” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Native American’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/native-american (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=native%20american · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP