Will Donald Trump say “Venezuela / Military”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Venezuela / Military” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 15, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Venezuela / Military
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…that we're doing. I didn't promise. I didn't promise I didn't promise Venezuela. I didn't talk about we took over Venezuela. We have more oil…
…it is almost like a release. It's good. You know, we took Venezuela quickly. We're doing we're doing very well. You have no idea how…
…pour across our borders from all over the world. It was an invasion. That was like a military invasion. And if they win the midterms,
…seen there's a very clear connection between transnational cyber syndicates and enemy militaries in how they fund themselves, how they support their activities. So, if…
…the hottest country in the world right now. We have the best military, the best everything. We made the largest ever investment in the United…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Venezuela / Military |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Venezuela / Military”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Venezuela / Military” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Venezuela / Military” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Venezuela / Military’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/military-or-venezuela (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=military%20%2F%20venezuela · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP