Will Donald Trump say “Marble”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Marble” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 31, 2026.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Marble
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to use always red spray paint. It's terrible. And you have statuary marble, which is, you know, not that strong as stone, but beautiful, but…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…know, little ding ding ding ding ding. You know, you buy the marble. It's about It's about a half an inch thick like this. Bing…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Marble |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Marble”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Marble” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Marble” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Marble’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/marble (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=marble · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP