Will Donald Trump say “Maduro / Khamenei”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Maduro / Khamenei” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 21, 2026.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Maduro / Khamenei
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 1 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
We captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting trial and he's one of the ones that…
…We captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting trial. And we won the war in Venezuela…
…We captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting trial. And we won the war in Venezuela…
…we're captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting. And we won the war in Venezuela. One…
…we captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who's now awaiting trial for lots of bad things. And we won…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | Maduro / Khamenei |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Maduro / Khamenei”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Maduro / Khamenei” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Maduro / Khamenei” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Maduro / Khamenei’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/khamenei-or-maduro (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=khamenei%20%2F%20maduro · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP