Will Donald Trump say “Iran / Oil” 13+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Iran / Oil” 13+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 21, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (13+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Iran / Oil 13+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…doing very well. You have no idea how well we're doing with Iran. Iran is finished. Iran is finished. But think of it. But I…
…used the name Elan Omar, but rather it's an entirely different name. Iran Nur say Almi slightly different than Ilan that's and I don't know…
…been pretty happy with Russia, that they have not gotten involved with Iran. We've -- we've taken Iran down to levels that they've never seen…
Interest rates are very soon going to be falling just like oil, gas, everything's going to be. We watch what's going to be happening very…
…countries in Europe and, as you know, we're doing very well with Iran. We just have to make a final decision of which way do…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Iran / Oil 13+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Iran / Oil 13+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Iran / Oil” 13+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Iran / Oil 13+ times” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Iran / Oil 13+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/iran-or-oil-13plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=iran%20%2F%20oil%20%2813%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP