Will Donald Trump say “Immigrant”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Immigrant” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 8, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Immigrant
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…prohibiting any future president from ever opening our borders to allow illegal immigrants to gain access. We will not allow that. We will ban sanctuary…
…Act, prohibiting any future president from ever opening our borders to illegal immigrants again. We will ban sanctuary cities and pass the death penalty for…
…Act, prohibiting any future president from ever opening our borders to illegal immigrants again. And we will ban sanctuary cities and pass a death penalty…
…act prohibiting any future president from ever opening our border to illegal immigrants again. That was an invasion. That was like a military invasion. We're…
…have a Europe pretty soon if they keep going. And it's mostly immigrants, there are other. You know, JD wrote a great post on it…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Immigrant |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Immigrant”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Immigrant” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Immigrant” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Immigrant’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/immigrant (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=immigrant · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP