Will Donald Trump say “Hat / MAGA”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hat / MAGA” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Hat / MAGA
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…a Republican House and a Republican Senate. And the fake news media hates it when I say that Abdul Muhammad Alsaded is a jihadist. They…
…You can't He's stupid. But but you know the other thing she hates when I dance on this thing. She hates it. She said, "Darling,…
…love you very much. But the dancing is not presidential. And she hates in particular the weightlifting. You know where the woman the woman gets…
…said she actually said please please never do that again. She also hates me dancing, you know. No, I said I said look Melania, you…
…science. It's 49 percent less. If I can get my voters -- MAGA, Republicans, whatever you want to call them, if they get out to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Hat / MAGA |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Hat / MAGA”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hat / MAGA” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Hat / MAGA” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Hat / MAGA’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/hat-or-maga (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=hat%20%2F%20maga · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP