Will Donald Trump say “Happy / Meal”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Happy / Meal” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 17, 2025.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Happy / Meal
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Who is now your ambassador to China and doing very he's very happy. It was a shocker and we're going to have another shocker. I…
…like the end of that story, actually. But now he's okay. He's happy. But income for hardworking Americans has soared to the highest level in…
…farms, we did something that is one of the things I'm most happy about. We eliminated the unfair estate tax or the death tax, right?…
…Putin. So, we appreciate it very much. And his family is extremely happy. They can't believe it because it happened so quickly. So, that's the…
…a big decision for somebody she said yes and I was very happy about about it because she was a person that everybody I know…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | Happy / Meal |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Happy / Meal”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Happy / Meal” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Happy / Meal” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Happy / Meal’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/happy-or-meal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=happy%20%2F%20meal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP