Will Donald Trump say “Tariff / Oil / Gas” 7+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tariff / Oil / Gas” 7+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 12, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (7+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tariff / Oil / Gas 7+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Venezuela. I didn't talk about we took over Venezuela. We have more oil pouring into our country that But I didn't promise I didn't promise…
…more now because we're a little longer than that. Thanks to my tariffs, my favorite word, I have to tell you. But no longer. It's…
…you got to take over a country that's like the best the oil. You know how you find oil in Venezuela? Look at the ground.…
Interest rates are very soon going to be falling just like oil, gas, everything's going to be. We watch what's going to be happening very…
…one state sponsor of terror. As soon as that war is over, oil is going to drop like a rock. And that's the only thing…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Tariff / Oil / Gas 7+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tariff / Oil / Gas 7+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tariff / Oil / Gas” 7+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tariff / Oil / Gas 7+ times” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tariff / Oil / Gas 7+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gas-or-oil-or-tariff-7plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gas%20%2F%20oil%20%2F%20tariff%20%287%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP