Will Donald Trump say “Scam / Fraud” 2+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Scam / Fraud” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 13, 2026.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (2+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Scam / Fraud 2+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 3 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…every single day, always. We will win the war on corruption and fraud led by our great Vice President J. D. Vance. We will pass…
…seat. Elhan Nure say Elme, her real name, has openly admitted to fraud and she will not be legally allowed to be a member of…
…So Elon Nur say Elmei her real name is openly admitted to fraud and she will not be legally allowed to be a member of…
…that Elhan Nur say Elmei, her real name is openly admitted to fraud and she will not be legally allowed to be a member of…
…everybody for being here. The effort to stop cyber crime and cyber fraud has been ongoing for many years, but I think we're closer to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Scam / Fraud 2+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Scam / Fraud 2+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Scam / Fraud” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Scam / Fraud 2+ times” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Scam / Fraud 2+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/fraud-or-scam-2plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=fraud%20%2F%20scam%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP