Will Donald Trump say “Fish / Fishing / Fisherman”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Fish / Fishing / Fisherman” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 13, 2026.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 3 later rallies without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Fish / Fishing / Fisherman
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…go in there. They fence off a mangrove swamp. They poison the fish in it. They grow shrimp. They can do that for five seasons…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…be among the bravest people anywhere in the world we've destroyed the fishing industry all over the place nobody wants to go fishing anymore. That's…
…in the world. The problem with it is it's totally killed the fishing industry in the oceans and the Gulf because everybody's afraid to go…
…level. It's sort of like JD said it to me, it's shooting fish in a barrel. There's so much it's -- they had no idea.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fish / Fishing / Fisherman |  Polymarket | No |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fish / Fishing / Fisherman |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Fish / Fishing / Fisherman”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Fish / Fishing / Fisherman” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Fish / Fishing / Fisherman” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Fish / Fishing / Fisherman’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/fish-or-fisherman-or-fishing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=fish%20%2F%20fisherman%20%2F%20fishing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP