Will Donald Trump say “First Lady / Movie Star”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “First Lady / Movie Star” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 25, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
First Lady / Movie Star
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…people are bad. But we signed and I said to our great first lady who says hello. I said, "First lady, this is going to…
…stronger than it is right now. We need it back. So, the first lady and I just left Florida. We voted early in Florida just…
one time I imitated him and I called our great first lady. I said, "How great was I tonight? How great?" And I was walking…
…lives, commit suicide. This has been a top priority for our wonderful first lady, who led a successful bipartisan effort to pass the Take It…
…Oval Office. Three very handsome men, beautiful. I mean, like they're like movie stars. These guys were central casting. Big, beautiful looking guys. Four-star generals.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | First Lady / Movie Star |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “First Lady / Movie Star”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “First Lady / Movie Star” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “First Lady / Movie Star” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘First Lady / Movie Star’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/first-lady-or-movie-star (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=first%20lady%20%2F%20movie%20star · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP