Will Donald Trump say “FBI/Federal Bureau of Investigation”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “FBI/Federal Bureau of Investigation” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 22, 2025.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
FBI/Federal Bureau of Investigation
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 1 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Secretary of Homeland Security Markwayne Mullin, Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, FBI Director Kash Patel, Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton, National Cyber Director…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | FBI/Federal Bureau of Investigation |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “FBI/Federal Bureau of Investigation”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “FBI/Federal Bureau of Investigation” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 22, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “FBI/Federal Bureau of Investigation” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘FBI/Federal Bureau of Investigation’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/fbi-or-federal-bureau-of-investigation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=fbi%20%2F%20federal%20bureau%20of%20investigation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP