Will Donald Trump say “Family / Friend” 3+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Family / Friend” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Family / Friend 3+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
and she and her other friends and her other friends. I always say AOC plus three, but somehow I don't mind AOC that much. I…
…to the United States Senate. And we're going to elect a great friend of mine, Rick Jackson, as your next governor. Thank you. We're going…
…for something So, I get used to it. You know, I have friends that if they get sued, they have almost a nervous breakdown. Sure,…
…biggest plants in the country. Maybe the biggest. Owned by an unbelievable family with lots of cash. They'll do it right. They're looking forward to…
…talk about, predators, cyber criminals, including industrial scam centers stealing from American families and American businesses. I want to thank Secretary of War Pete Hegseth,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | Family / Friend 3+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Family / Friend 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Family / Friend” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Family / Friend 3+ times” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Family / Friend 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/family-or-friend-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=family%20%2F%20friend%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP