Will Donald Trump say “Fake News” 5+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Fake News” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 30, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 5. 3 later rallies without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Fake News 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…You know something's happening. They don't like to say it on the fake news. They don't like to talk about it. That's a lot of…
…much to me like Peewee Herman. and he still does. But the fake news, they say, "Oh, he's so handsome." You saw I don't think…
…I mean, when you look outside and you have and I have to be careful because the fake news will say if I'm wrong, you
…quickly turned it around into what they are calling. And even the fake news back there is starting to see the number. Wow, that's a…
…hate doing it. You know what happens when I do that? The fake news back there. My wife said to me, she says hello. She…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2024 | Fake News 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Fake News 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Fake News” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 30, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Fake News 5+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Fake News 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/fake-new-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=fake%20new%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP