Will Donald Trump say “Epstein / Hoax”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Epstein / Hoax” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 12, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 3 later appearances without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Epstein / Hoax
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…on energy and terminated the Green New Scam. One of the greatest hoaxes in the history of our country. And our policy is very simple.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | Epstein / Hoax |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Epstein / Hoax”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Epstein / Hoax” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 12, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Epstein / Hoax” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Epstein / Hoax’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/epstein-or-hoax (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=epstein%20%2F%20hoax · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP