Will Donald Trump say “Endorsement”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Endorsement” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 26, 2026.

Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Endorsement

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 4 keynotes
said in 1 of 4

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Georgia · Oct 24, 2026 · 7:29In transcript

…little bit of a rally and I did a lot of an endorsement and we got him down to below 50%. So, now there was…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 1:20:13In transcript

…than that. She's been a great senator and she will continue to be. She needs your support and she has my endorsement and complete support.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 1:22:43In transcript

…been my fan and my we love Brena right such an early endorsement and again I want to thank Chuck Grassley has been great I…

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jun 26, 2026EndorsementPolymarketYes1

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Endorsement”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Endorsement” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 26, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Endorsement” next time?
55%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Endorsement’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/endorsement (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=endorsement · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP