Will Donald Trump say “Tesla / Elon”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Tesla / Elon” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 7, 2026.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tesla / Elon
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Trump at 53% easily crushing Abe a blink at 8% and the Elon poll showed that he was the greatest president as well. Donald feel…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…because data centers are so I say let them come in like in Memphis I think it's Elon he's building some in Memphis I could
…tremendous respect for, Elhan Omar. And I was saddened to hear that Elon Omar is not her name. It's not It's not Elon Omar. The…
…moderate. So he can go vote with extremists like Abdul Muhammad Aliad. They can be together. and James Telerico and oh no Elon Omar B.
…has been an incredible partner to law enforcement, as has X and Elon Musk. In April, FBI and the Dubai Police announced the arrest of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Tesla / Elon |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tesla / Elon”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Tesla / Elon” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tesla / Elon” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tesla / Elon’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/elon-or-tesla (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=elon%20%2F%20tesla · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP