Will Donald Trump say “Eight War / Nine War / Ninth War”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Eight War / Nine War / Ninth War” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 15, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Eight War / Nine War / Ninth War

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Rally in Michigan · Oct 25, 2026 · 40:36In transcript

…don't want anything to do with Norway. Think of it. I settled eight wars and I got two more coming. And what did I do?…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 37:14In transcript

…tariffs, the use of tariffs. Number one, tariffs have helped us end eight wars. Five of the eight, I would say, was because of trade…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 1:02:03In transcript

…such respect. Not that I want. It's just ridiculous. I settled like eight wars. How the hell do you not get the Nobel Prize? The…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:19:31In transcript

…they can make a deal. I thought -- you know, I settled eight wars. I thought that would be the easiest one. The hatred between…

What will Trump say this week? (October 19 - October 25) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 19 - October 25) · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 15, 2026Eight War / Nine War / Ninth WarPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Eight War / Nine War / Ninth War”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Eight War / Nine War / Ninth War” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 15, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Eight War / Nine War / Ninth War” next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Eight War / Nine War / Ninth War’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/eight-war-or-nine-war-or-ninth-war (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=eight%20war%20%2F%20nine%20war%20%2F%20ninth%20war · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP