Will Donald Trump say “Mineral / Earth” 2+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Mineral / Earth” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 20, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (2+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceDonald Trump
Mineral / Earth 2+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
nothing. Probably the worst country on earth. There are a couple of that maybe could be right there, but it's among the worst in the…
…fix up our country. She comes from probably the worst country on earth. There are a couple of pretty bad ones. I'd say that's right…
…The number one state sponsor of terror, the most evil nation on earth. If they had a nuclear weapon, they'd use it within one day…
…money, and we got a very big chunk of land and rare earth and other things, if anybody remembers. Let's see what that amounts to.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | Mineral / Earth 2+ times | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Mineral / Earth 2+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Mineral / Earth” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 20, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Mineral / Earth 2+ times” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Mineral / Earth 2+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/earth-or-mineral-2plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=earth%20%2F%20mineral%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP