Will Donald Trump say “Denmark / Norway”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Denmark / Norway” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 21, 2026.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Denmark / Norway
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…they were going after me. How dare he treat Europe? How dare he treat Denmark that way? And Denmark was great. We own Greenland. We
…people from house countries? Why can't we take people from like well Norway? Uh Sweden. Uh why not Denmark? You know, by the way, Denmark…
…through Florida? I don't think so. No, I said, "Well, you know, Norway is very liberal." And you know, the person that got the Nobel…
…if they were necess upset with the European Union because it was Denmark, you know, it's had it. They've only had it from 1592. 1592.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | Denmark / Norway |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Denmark / Norway”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Denmark / Norway” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Denmark / Norway” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Denmark / Norway’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/denmark-or-norway (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=denmark%20%2F%20norway · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP