Will Donald Trump say “Defund the police”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Defund the police” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2024.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Defund the police
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 1 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
so great. Abdul Raman has called to defund the police, abolish the police, abolish ICE, abolish border patrol, our great border patrol. We had zero…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | Defund the police |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Defund the police”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Defund the police” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Defund the police” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Defund the police’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/defund-the-police (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=defund%20the%20police · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP