Will Donald Trump say “Crooked Joe / Sleepy Joe”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crooked Joe / Sleepy Joe” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 20, 2025 (50%), most recently on Mar 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crooked Joe / Sleepy Joe
- Probability
- 46% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the middle." I had another case. I explained it yesterday. sometimes mimic sleepy Joe Biden when he speaks. First of all, he speaks for extremely…
…in Washington DC. Many of them came through the open borders from sleepy Joe Biden. But we moved out of 5,000 career criminals. And a…
…Myers earlier this year, an illegal alien released into our county by crooked Joe Biden. You know who I'm talking about. strangled and killed a…
…was right. The other one was $185. Now, do you think that sleepy Joe Biden Do you think he's looking at pumps to find out…
You think Sleepy Joe would say, "Gee, the wall's not looking too good today." He He didn't know he was alive. Guy was he the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Crooked Joe / Sleepy Joe |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Crooked Joe / Sleepy Joe | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crooked Joe / Sleepy Joe”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crooked Joe / Sleepy Joe” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 20, 2025 (50%), most recently on Mar 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crooked Joe / Sleepy Joe” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crooked Joe / Sleepy Joe’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crooked-joe-or-sleepy-joe (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crooked%20joe%20%2F%20sleepy%20joe · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP