Will Donald Trump say “Sleepy/Crooked Joe” 3+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Sleepy/Crooked Joe” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 12, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Sleepy/Crooked Joe 3+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the middle." I had another case. I explained it yesterday. sometimes mimic sleepy Joe Biden when he speaks. First of all, he speaks for extremely…
…in Washington DC. Many of them came through the open borders from sleepy Joe Biden. But we moved out of 5,000 career criminals. And a…
…Myers earlier this year, an illegal alien released into our county by crooked Joe Biden. You know who I'm talking about. strangled and killed a…
…was right. The other one was $185. Now, do you think that sleepy Joe Biden Do you think he's looking at pumps to find out…
You think Sleepy Joe would say, "Gee, the wall's not looking too good today." He He didn't know he was alive. Guy was he the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Sleepy/Crooked Joe 3+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Sleepy/Crooked Joe 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Sleepy/Crooked Joe” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 12, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Sleepy/Crooked Joe 3+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Sleepy/Crooked Joe 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crooked-joe-or-sleepy-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crooked%20joe%20%2F%20sleepy%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP