Will Donald Trump say “Crimea / Donetsk”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Crimea / Donetsk” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 18, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crimea / Donetsk
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
families, lower taxes, less crime, a booming Georgia economy. It's going to boom like never before. With these two people, it's going to boom like…
…money in your pockets, bigger paychecks for your families, lower taxes, less crime, a booming Florida economy, and no amnesty for illegal aliens. But for…
…money in your pockets, bigger paychecks for your families, lower taxes, less crime, a booming Iowa economy, and no amnesty for your illegal aliens. You…
…money in your pockets, bigger paychecks for your families, lower taxes, less crime, a booming South Carolina economy, and no amnesty for illegal aliens. And…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2025 | Crimea / Donetsk |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crimea / Donetsk”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Crimea / Donetsk” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 18, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crimea / Donetsk” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crimea / Donetsk’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crimea-or-donetsk (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crimea%20%2F%20donetsk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP