Will Donald Trump say “Crime / Stabbed in the ass”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Crime / Stabbed in the ass” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 19, 2025.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crime / Stabbed in the ass
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…everything. They'll take away all of those tax cuts, all of that crime preventions. You know, we have the safest country that we've ever had…
…sanctuary cities. Those are cities that protect criminals. And you see the crime you've been having in Atlanta. It's like a crime. Horrible. Which released…
…have no government where they have no anything. All they have is crime. You know what their number one You know what their number one…
…taken off the streets and we've achieved the largest drop in violent crime ever recorded despite the fact that people have come in that we…
…want to thank everybody for being here. The effort to stop cyber crime and cyber fraud has been ongoing for many years, but I think…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | Crime / Stabbed in the ass |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crime / Stabbed in the ass”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Crime / Stabbed in the ass” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 19, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crime / Stabbed in the ass” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crime / Stabbed in the ass’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crime-or-stabbed-in-the-ass (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crime%20%2F%20stabbed%20in%20the%20ass · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP