Will Donald Trump say “Crime / Drug”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Crime / Drug” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 17, 2025.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crime / Drug
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…everything. They'll take away all of those tax cuts, all of that crime preventions. You know, we have the safest country that we've ever had…
drug dealers, prisoners all over the country. They came and we now think that Georgia should reward him for his treachery by defeating him. We…
…have no government where they have no anything. All they have is crime. You know what their number one You know what their number one…
…to evade capture. He's explaining to them how to evade capture, murderers, drug dealers, how to evade capture. This is not working for Iowa. He…
…want to thank everybody for being here. The effort to stop cyber crime and cyber fraud has been ongoing for many years, but I think…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | Crime / Drug |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crime / Drug”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Crime / Drug” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crime / Drug” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crime / Drug’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crime-or-drug (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crime%20%2F%20drug · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP