Will Donald Trump say “Congress / Shutdown”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Congress / Shutdown” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Congress / Shutdown
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Omar, the one that she used to get elected and sworn into Congress, but rather it's an entirely different named Ilan Sedme. Lovely name. It's…
…to our country. In June of 2017, we had a candidate for Congress. A wonderful woman named Karen Handel, you might remember, who was losing…
…last night. And it was just revealed that one of my favorite Congress people, a person I have tremendous respect for, Elhan Omar. And I…
…Omar, the one that she used to get elected and sworn into Congress. In other words, she used the name Elan Omar, but rather it's…
…nearly $1 billion of cyber currency and -- tied to foreign scammers, shut down more than 500 fraudulent websites, and coordinated with technology companies to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Congress / Shutdown |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Congress / Shutdown”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Congress / Shutdown” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Congress / Shutdown” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Congress / Shutdown’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/congress-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=congress%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP