Will Donald Trump say “Rwanda / Congo” 12+ times?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Rwanda / Congo” 12+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (12+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Rwanda / Congo 12+ times

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 59:27In transcript

…young lady who nobody ever heard of. I settled Kosovo, Serbia, the Congo and Rwanda. These were raging wars. Pakistan and India. Remember they were…

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Dec 4, 2025Rwanda / Congo 12+ timesPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Rwanda / Congo 12+ times”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Rwanda / Congo” 12+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Rwanda / Congo 12+ times” next time?
39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Rwanda / Congo 12+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/congo-or-rwanda-12plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=congo%20%2F%20rwanda%20%2812%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP