Will Donald Trump say “China / President Xi”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “China / President Xi” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 15, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
China / President Xi
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the single greatest investment into a country in history. And that includes China and all the rest I love. And thanks to my tariffs, we…
…David Purdue won that election. Really? Who is now your ambassador to China and doing very he's very happy. It was a shocker and we're…
…fake news says, "Why does he spend time on the white?" Well, I don't like having the head of China come into the White House
…in the United States of America. We don't want you going to China. We don't want you going to Japan. We don't want you going…
…say that a very important element is the fact that Russia and China have not participated or participated in a much smaller way than they…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | China / President Xi |  Polymarket | No |
| Oct 15, 2025 | China / President Xi | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “China / President Xi”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “China / President Xi” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 15, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “China / President Xi” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘China / President Xi’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/china-or-president-xi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=china%20%2F%20president%20xi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP