Will Donald Trump say “Brilliant”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Brilliant” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 1, 2025.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Brilliant
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 4 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Someday I'm going to wear it. You know, he's a he's a brilliant guy. He's like an accounting guy that makes a lot of money,…
…admitted into the United States. Zero. Thank you. I was telling this brilliant team that I have over here that I feel always sort of…
…Thank you. and the chairman of the export import bank, a real brilliant guy, John Yvanovich. Who is John? John Yvanovich. He is he has…
…great with the lake and really great and I spoke to a brilliant guy Sundar he heads all of Google he's a brilliant guy Sergey…
…have stopped. This is revolutionary, just like the fraud task force. It would supercharge our fraud experts, and I think it is a brilliant move.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2025 | Brilliant |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Brilliant”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Brilliant” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 1, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Brilliant” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Brilliant’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/brilliant (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=brilliant · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP