Will Donald Trump say “Bottom of the Sea”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Bottom of the Sea” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Bottom of the Sea
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…You know, Iran had 159 ships. Now they're all at the bottom of the sea. They had 268 beautiful airplanes. You know where they are?…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Bottom of the Sea |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Bottom of the Sea”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Bottom of the Sea” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Bottom of the Sea” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Bottom of the Sea’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bottom-of-the-sea (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bottom%20of%20the%20sea · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP