Will Donald Trump say “Border / Tariff” 5+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Border / Tariff” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Border / Tariff 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…security secrets. And his vote would wield power over our military, our borders, our homeland security, and much more than that. And to think that…
…American history, and allowed 25 million people to invade your country by pouring across our borders from all over the world. From prisons, they came.
…He wants to take away your guns. He wants to open the borders. He wants to have transgender for everybody. It's a guy who's gone.…
…in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. It was an invasion. That was like…
…mean, at the War Department, we've done the same on the southwest border with our interagency partners on law enforcement in cities all across America…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | Border / Tariff 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Border / Tariff 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Border / Tariff” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Border / Tariff 5+ times” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Border / Tariff 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/border-or-tariff-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=border%20%2F%20tariff%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP