Will Donald Trump say “Larry / Bird”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Larry / Bird” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 21, 2025 (50%), most recently on Nov 25, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Larry / Bird
- Probability
- 50% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…up here, fellas. Chris McGawan here in the fourth district and Brena Bird from Iowa attorney general has been my fan and my we love…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Larry / Bird |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Larry / Bird | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Larry / Bird”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Larry / Bird” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 21, 2025 (50%), most recently on Nov 25, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Larry / Bird” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Larry / Bird’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bird-or-larry (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bird%20%2F%20larry · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP