Will Donald Trump say “Billion” 15+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Billion” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 19, 2025.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Billion 15+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 1 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…new $400 million factory here in your state. Ford is pouring $3 billion into central Michigan. And GM is investing billions and billions of dollars…
…going to get him to vote against us. Every single one, you know, I gave, as you know, $12 billion just recently to the farmers.
…good memory to the best I just approved a steel plant for billions of dollars in a section of Iowa that can use the jobs.…
…or cyber attacks. It's pretty amazing. Americans reported losing more than $20 billion to cyber enabled crimes, and this is just what's reported. So, the…
…times five. We've never had so much money at 22.2 million uh billion. Sorry, billion with a B, not an M. If it was an…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025 | Billion 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Billion 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Billion” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 19, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Billion 15+ times” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Billion 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/billion-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=billion%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP