Will Donald Trump say “Biden / Kamala / Obama” 10+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Biden / Kamala / Obama” 10+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times
- Probability
- 64% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
15 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…media. You know, I was telling him the other night I imitated Biden on the stage where he used to walk off walls and could…
…this year, an illegal alien released into our county by crooked Joe Biden. You know who I'm talking about. strangled and killed a 28-year-old homeless…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 15 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Biden / Kamala / Obama” 10+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/biden-or-kamala-or-obama-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=biden%20%2F%20kamala%20%2F%20obama%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP