Will Donald Trump say “Biden” 8+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Biden” 8+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 31, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (8+, named speaker only) in 0. 3 later rallies without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Biden 8+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I had another case. I explained it yesterday. sometimes mimic sleepy Joe Biden when he speaks. First of all, he speaks for extremely short periods…
…DC. Many of them came through the open borders from sleepy Joe Biden. But we moved out of 5,000 career criminals. And a friend of…
…media. You know, I was telling him the other night I imitated Biden on the stage where he used to walk off walls and could…
…actually zero in 17 months. Who can believe it, right? Remember Joe Biden said we'd have to go to Congress to get a change. I…
Yeah. Sure, sure. We had a wonderful man who, during the Biden administration, was taken hostage in Russia. They claimed things -- we won't get…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | Biden 8+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Biden 8+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Biden” 8+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 31, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Biden 8+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Biden 8+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/biden-8plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=biden%20%288%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP