Will Donald Trump say “Lion / Bear”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Lion / Bear” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 15, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Lion / Bear
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…his quotes. Byron Donald's will always defend your right to keep and bear arms just like I do. And Byron was one of the first…
…hard." You know, the first question I said, "Oh, they have a lion, a snake, a giraffe, and a bear." And they said, "Which is…
…She will always defend you and keep you and the right to bear arms and your second amendment. She's in there all the way. and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | Lion / Bear |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Lion / Bear”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Lion / Bear” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Lion / Bear” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Lion / Bear’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bear-or-lion (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bear%20%2F%20lion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP