Will Donald Trump say “Ballot”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Ballot” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 24, 2026.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Ballot
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…it down. So, I'm asking you to pretend that I'm on the ballot. So, what happens? It's very easy. When I'm not on the ballot,…
…what I'm asking you to do is pretend that I'm on the ballot. You got to get out and you got to vote. It's very…
…In this election, I'm asking you to pretend that I'm on the ballot if you don't mind because when I'm on the ballot, these are…
that I'm running. Pretend I'm on the ballot cuz if if you get out, we're going to win big. And early voting in Iowa is…
…country. In this election, I'm asking you to pretend I'm on the ballot because when I'm on the ballot, WE GET 49% MORE votes all…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ballot |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Ballot”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Ballot” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Ballot” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Ballot’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ballot (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ballot · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP