Will Donald Trump say “NATO / Friend / Ally” 7+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “NATO / Friend / Ally” 7+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 19, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (7+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
NATO / Friend / Ally 7+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
and she and her other friends and her other friends. I always say AOC plus three, but somehow I don't mind AOC that much. I…
…to the United States Senate. And we're going to elect a great friend of mine, Rick Jackson, as your next governor. Thank you. We're going…
…for something So, I get used to it. You know, I have friends that if they get sued, they have almost a nervous breakdown. Sure,…
…to some of their conversations very nicely. We're very good. Is that friend or foe back there? Friend or foe? There's a young man screaming…
…put in think of it 6 bill250 million now. 6 bill2 I have a friend. He put up a hundred million. I said you didn't
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | NATO / Friend / Ally 7+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “NATO / Friend / Ally 7+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “NATO / Friend / Ally” 7+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “NATO / Friend / Ally 7+ times” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘NATO / Friend / Ally 7+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ally-or-friend-or-nato-7plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ally%20%2F%20friend%20%2F%20nato%20%287%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP