Will Donald Trump say “Air Force”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Air Force” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Air Force
- Probability
- 46% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…being president, they give you the best pilots in the United States Air Force/marines. The best. So that's one of the advantages. They definitely have…
…it. So I had it done. I'm in this beautiful this beautiful Air Force One and we have breaking news all the time every two…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Air Force”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Air Force” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 16, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Air Force” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Air Force’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/air-force (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=air%20force · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP