Will Donald Trump say “5000”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “5000” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 3, 2026.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
5000
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I am going to give all adult citizens in the United States $5,000. You deserve it. And only Republicans can do it. Democrats can't because…
…in fact, it took place almost immediately. You know, we moved out 5,000 career criminals, as we did, by the way, in Washington DC. Many…
…you actually. But I'm pleased to announce that the Trump administration is investing $250 million to hire at least 5,000 new nurses in elder care
…you're married we're going to give everybody one just one big hit, $5,000. So, so if you're a man and wife, it's five and five.…
…Representatives and the Senate, I'm going to give all adult citizens and the United States of America $5,000. And only Republicans can do it because
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | 5000 |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “5000”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “5000” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “5000” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘5000’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/5000 (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=5000 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP