Will Donald Trump say “Stock market / 401k”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Stock market / 401k” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 12, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Stock market / 401k
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…it, Mike. They had a little ticker on the side saying the stock market was up 602 points. Did you see it? That's just one…
…anybody else. They wouldn't be making that announcement two years ago. The stock market has set 88 all-time highs since the election, much less than…
…of America by far than we have ever had before and the stock market has set 88 all-time record highs since the election less than…
…and that's why you're building all of these plants all over. The stock market has set 88 all-time records in just this short less than…
…it. It's I I think it's great. It's good for everybody. The stock market has set 88 all-time record highs since the election less than…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Stock market / 401k |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Stock market / 401k”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Stock market / 401k” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 12, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Stock market / 401k” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Stock market / 401k’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/401k-or-stock-market (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=401k%20%2F%20stock%20market · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP