Will Donald Trump say “250 / Anniversary”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “250 / Anniversary” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 11, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
250 / Anniversary
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
you know, they get paid $250. We found out $250. They paid by the Democrats and the Soros people and other people and they stick…
…money and I'm going to put massive tariffs on both of you. 250% so you won't be able to do any business. And they got…
…It's unbelievable. Unbelievable. They'll do whatever they can to win. They get $250 for that and they screw up their lives and they go home…
We're just comparing. Ours goes 250 years, which is great, and we're proud of it. But theirs goes 6,000 years. So there's a little difference…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 250 / Anniversary |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “250 / Anniversary”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “250 / Anniversary” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 11, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “250 / Anniversary” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘250 / Anniversary’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/250-or-anniversary (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=250%20%2F%20anniversary · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP