What is the probability “Fumble 3+ times” is said on NFL broadcasts next time?

57%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: play-by-play or color.

Will “Fumble” be said 3+ times on the next NFL broadcast?

Name: NFL: “Fumble 3+ times” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Fumble” was said 3+ times on NFL broadcasts in 5 of 6 games with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 2, 2025 (83%), most recently on Oct 13, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

57%from settlement history only · n=6counts: play-by-play or color

Last 10: 5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: play-by-play or color

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 07:41 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

NFL

Fumble 3+ times

Probability: 57% · n=6
Settled: 5/6 (83%)

Next listing counts: play-by-play or color

We don’t have transcripts for NFL yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the announcers say during the Cowboys vs Packers game? · not listed

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What will the announcers say during the Seahawks vs Broncos game? · not listed

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What will the announcers say during the Ravens vs Falcons game? · not listed

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What will the announcers say during the 49ers vs Seahawks game? · not listed

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What will the announcers say during the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game? · not listed

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What will the announcers say during the Falcons vs Saints game? · not listed

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What will the announcers say during the Lions vs Panthers game? · not listed

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What will the announcers say during the Chiefs vs Raiders game? · not listed

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What will the announcers say during the Steelers vs Browns game? · not listed

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What will the announcers say during the Ravens vs Cowboys game? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Oct 13, 2025	Fumble 3+ times	Polymarket	Yes
Oct 12, 2025	Fumble 3+ times	Polymarket	No
Oct 9, 2025	Fumble 3+ times	Polymarket	Yes
Oct 6, 2025	Fumble 3+ times	Polymarket	Yes
Oct 5, 2025	Fumble 3+ times	Polymarket	Yes
Oct 2, 2025	Fumble 3+ times	Polymarket	Yes

Questions

How often is “Fumble 3+ times” said on NFL broadcasts?: As of Oct 25, 2026, “Fumble” was said 3+ times on NFL broadcasts in 5 of 6 games with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 2, 2025 (83%), most recently on Oct 13, 2025.
What is the probability “Fumble 3+ times” is said on NFL broadcasts next time?: 57%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: play-by-play or color.

Cite parrot.markets, “NFL: ‘Fumble 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/nfl/words/fumble-3plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nfl&word=fumble%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nfl&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP