Will Zohran Mamdani say “Union”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Union” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Union
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…you're in agreement with the legislation, but there has been concern from unions about whether workers will properly be compensated for the loss of their…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Union |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Union”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Union” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Union” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Union’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/union (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=union · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP