What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Shelter” next time?

34%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Shelter”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Shelter” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Shelter” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 13, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 23:28 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Shelter

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Council Member Lincoln RestlerotherMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…capacity at our human services agencies to be able to process bigger contracts for homeless services shelters, with cultural organizations, et cetera, much more quickly.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.