What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Education / School” next time?

53%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Education / School”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Education / School” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Education / School” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.

53%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak: said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 07:31 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Education / School

Probability: 53% · n=2
Settled: 2/2 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

And I had a high school friend of mine reach out and ask me, "What do we think about the Delivery Workers Protection Act?" And…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

…their districts next fall, and the many steps they will take to school, from school, in their ABCs and 123s, and on the path toward…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…and CEO, Tony Shorris. We have NYU President Linda Mills, NYU Tandon School of Engineering Executive Dean Juan de Pablo. We have NYU Board Chair…

Police Commissioner Jessica S. TischotherMayor Mamdani Delivers Remarks at NYPD Memorial Wall With Commissioner Jessica S. Tisch · Oct 13, 2026In transcript

…is in motion. People are heading to work. Children are going to school. The city is going about its business. And here we pause. We…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…make every single day. In food pantries that feed the hungry. In after-school programs that enrich our children's lives. In the arts and culture that…