What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Covid / Pandemic” next time?

49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Covid / Pandemic”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Covid / Pandemic” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Covid / Pandemic” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 31, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 00:02 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Covid / Pandemic

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Walter J. McNeil, President, Edenwald Houses Tenant AssociationotherMayor Mamdani Re-Opens Edenwald’s Community, Senior and Child Care Centers · Oct 23, 2026In transcript

Twenty-five years ago, they shut down the senior center. When COVID virus hit, the seniors were locked in their apartments. You know, a lot of…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.